Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.