Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Orebro had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Orebro win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varbergs BoIS would win this match.