Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.