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Gambia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Quarter-Finals
Jan 29, 2022 at 4pm UK
Independence Stadium
Cameroon national football team

Gambia
0 - 2
Cameroon


Sonko-Sundberg (21'), Modou (33'), Gaye (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toko Ekambi (50', 57')
Ngadeu-Ngadjui (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Gambia and Cameroon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Gambia 0-2 Cameroon

Cameroon are presented with yet another easy fixture as they go up against a debuting nation for the second game running. However, Gambia have proven to be no pushover at the tournament and will look to stun the Indomitable Lions on home soil. However, Cameroon boast the quality and experience needed at this stage of the tournament and we are tipping them to come away with the win in normal time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Cameroon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cameroon.

Result
GambiaDrawCameroon
30.15%26.89%42.96%
Both teams to score 49.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.86%55.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62%76.38%
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75%33.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14%69.86%
Cameroon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58%25.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.76%60.24%
Score Analysis
    Gambia 30.15%
    Cameroon 42.96%
    Draw 26.89%
GambiaDrawCameroon
1-0 @ 9.31%
2-1 @ 7.02%
2-0 @ 5.13%
3-1 @ 2.58%
3-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.15%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 11.57%
1-2 @ 8.73%
0-2 @ 7.93%
1-3 @ 3.99%
0-3 @ 3.62%
2-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.36%
0-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 42.96%

How you voted: Gambia vs Cameroon

Gambia
27.6%
Draw
8.9%
Cameroon
63.4%
123
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