Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 65.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Rovaniemen Palloseura had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Rovaniemen Palloseura win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ilves in this match.