Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.