Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TPS win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Rovaniemen Palloseura had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a TPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Rovaniemen Palloseura win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that TPS would win this match.