Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 82.26%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 5.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.8%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (2.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | St Johnstone |
82.26% ( 0.34) | 11.95% ( -0.14) | 5.8% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 44.17% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.97% ( -0.24) | 33.03% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.24% ( -0.28) | 54.76% ( 0.28) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.01% ( 0.02) | 5.99% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.15% ( 0.05) | 22.85% ( -0.05) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.98% ( -0.81) | 53.02% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.34% ( -0.52) | 86.66% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | St Johnstone |
2-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.64% Total : 82.25% | 1-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.56% Total : 11.95% | 0-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.98% Total : 5.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |