Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.