Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.