Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnet in this match.