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Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 at 3.30am UK
BC Place Stadium
St Louis City

Vancouver
4 - 3
St Louis City

White (37', 54', 61'), Picault (90')
Brown (12')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Blom (7'), Lowen (12' pen.), Thorisson (90+3')
Markanich (26'), Nerwinski (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 2-0 Vancouver
Sunday, June 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 St Louis City

St Louis are without an MLS victory as the visitors this season, and we believe that run will continue on Saturday against a side that have much more individual quality than them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 64.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSt Louis City
64.84% (0.064000000000007 0.06) 19.7% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 15.46% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.62% (-0.102 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.27% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)40.73% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.89% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)63.11% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.18% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)11.82% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)37.06% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.81% (-0.112 -0.11)39.19% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.1% (-0.105 -0.11)75.9% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 64.84%
    St Louis City 15.46%
    Draw 19.7%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 7.52% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-0 @ 4.01% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 64.84%
1-1 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.7%
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 15.46%

How you voted: Vancouver vs St Louis City

Vancouver Whitecaps
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
St Louis City
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 3.30am
May 28, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City
3-1
Vancouver
Lowen (10'), Blackmon (45' og.), Perez (90+4')
Nerwinski (20'), Parker (23'), Stroud (60'), Blom (86')
White (83')
Berhalter (49'), Gressel (90+3'), Gauld (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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