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Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 3.30am UK
BC Place Stadium
St Louis City

Vancouver
3 - 0
St Louis City

White (58'), Berhalter (82'), Laryea (90+6')
Gauld (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lowen (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 2-2 DC United
Sunday, October 1 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 4-1 Kansas
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 St Louis City

These are the two highest-scoring teams in the Western Conference, and on that artificial turf at BC Place, we have every reason to believe there will be plenty of chances on both sides so we could see our share of goals. On the opposite side, though, neither have been particularly sharp on the back end of late, so we expect to see a stalemate on Wednesday.

How to watch

You can watch Vancouver Whitecaps vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSt Louis City
65.96% (-0.00099999999999056 -0) 19.25% (0.00099999999999767 0) 14.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 53.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.99% (0.00099999999999767 0)40.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)62.37% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69%11.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.04% (0.00099999999999056 0)35.97% (0.0020000000000024 0)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.63% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.31% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 65.95%
    St Louis City 14.79%
    Draw 19.25%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.16%
4-0 @ 4.21%
4-1 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.31%
5-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 1.7%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 65.95%
1-1 @ 9.04%
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.48%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.25%
1-2 @ 4.19%
0-1 @ 4.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.41%
1-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 14.79%

How you voted: Vancouver vs St Louis City

Vancouver Whitecaps
31.3%
Draw
18.8%
St Louis City
50.0%
16
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City
3-1
Vancouver
Lowen (10'), Blackmon (45' og.), Perez (90+4')
Nerwinski (20'), Parker (23'), Stroud (60'), Blom (86')
White (83')
Berhalter (49'), Gressel (90+3'), Gauld (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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