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Major League Soccer
Sporting Kansas
Major League Soccer
Sep 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Children's Mercy Park
St Louis City

Kansas
2 - 1
St Louis City

Pulido (31', 44')
Pulido (71'), Melia (86'), Espinoza (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Adeniran (22')
Alm (81'), Klauss (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
Last Game: Kansas 3-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, August 27 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

St Louis City

All competitions
Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 Dallas
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Sporting Kansas City 2-1 St Louis City

 St. Louis City have found life difficult on the road, and Sporting Kansas will be looking to further compound their visitors' away woes. We are tipping the home side to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin.

How to watch

You can watch Sporting Kansas City vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 70.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 12.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Kansas City.

Result
Sporting Kansas CityDrawSt Louis City
70.66% (0.989 0.99) 17.16% (-0.468 -0.47) 12.18% (-0.512 -0.51)
Both teams to score 53.51% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.65% (0.927 0.93)36.35% (-0.918 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.52% (1.007 1.01)58.48% (-0.998 -1)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.85% (0.477 0.48)9.16% (-0.47 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.96% (1.119 1.12)31.04% (-1.111 -1.11)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.9% (-0.193 -0.19)41.1% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35% (-0.173 -0.17)77.65% (0.181 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Kansas City 70.65%
    St Louis City 12.18%
    Draw 17.16%
Sporting Kansas CityDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-0 @ 8.57% (0.156 0.16)
3-1 @ 7.62% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 5.12% (0.198 0.2)
4-1 @ 4.56% (0.152 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.025 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.45% (0.144 0.14)
5-1 @ 2.18% (0.117 0.12)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.057 0.06)
6-0 @ 0.98% (0.077 0.08)
5-2 @ 0.97% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 70.65%
1-1 @ 8% (-0.239 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.76% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.16%
1-2 @ 3.56% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-1 @ 3.35% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 12.18%

How you voted: Kansas vs St Louis City

Sporting Kansas City
42.9%
Draw
0.0%
St Louis City
57.1%
7
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 2.30am
St Louis City
4-0
Kansas
Lowen (19' pen.), Vassilev (25', 75'), Gioacchini (55')
Nerwinski (30')

Kinda (28'), Salloi (42')
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