Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.