We said: St Louis City 2-2 Vancouver Whitecaps
St Louis lead the league in draws this season with 10, and while many of those points have been memorable fixtures, they have yet to be convincing over 90 minutes, while the Caps are having a tough time winning away from home themselves.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.