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St Louis City
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 at 1.30am UK
CityPark
Sporting Kansas

St Louis City
3 - 1
Kansas

Teuchert (33'), Alm (54'), Lowen (75')
Klauss (39'), Horn (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Afrifa (63')
Pulskamp (45'), Rosero (45'), Voloder (45+5'), Teuchert (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 St Louis City
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: St Louis City 2-1 Sporting Kansas City

With two of the division's poorest defences going head-to-head, we anticipate an open and entertaining affair in this one.   That said, we are also leaning towards a narrow victory for the home side come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis CityDrawSporting Kansas City
48.41% (0.566 0.57) 23.17% (-0.351 -0.35) 28.42% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 60.92% (1.069 1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.91% (1.481 1.48)40.08% (-1.486 -1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.54% (1.514 1.51)62.45% (-1.521 -1.52)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.19% (0.777 0.78)16.81% (-0.783 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.21% (1.374 1.37)46.78% (-1.379 -1.38)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (0.602 0.6)26.76% (-0.609 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (0.79000000000001 0.79)62.04% (-0.795 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 48.41%
    Sporting Kansas City 28.42%
    Draw 23.17%
St Louis CityDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.344 -0.34)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.61% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.69% (0.159 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.128 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 48.41%
1-1 @ 10.57% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.111 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.5% (-0.316 -0.32)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.17%
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.93% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.06% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.095 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.42%

How you voted: St Louis City vs Kansas

St Louis City
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Sporting Kansas City
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2024 1.30am
Kansas
1-1
St Louis City
Agade (73')
Leibold (84'), Shelton (89')
Thorisson (42')
Thorisson (34'), Watts (45+1'), Kijima (90+4')
Apr 21, 2024 1.30am
Kansas
3-3
St Louis City
Pulido (17'), Burki (65'), Thommy (77')
Salloi (45+7'), Radoja (47'), Davis (71')
Klauss (31'), Pompeu (45+3'), Totland (90+2')
Parker (63'), Pompeu (85')
Nov 5, 2023 10pm
Kansas
2-1
St Louis City
Ndenbe (45+1'), Salloi (73')
Pulido (42'), Ndenbe (69'), Rosero (81'), Espinoza (90+14')
Pompeu (86')
Lowen (23'), Parker (32'), Hiebert (90+6')
Oct 30, 2023 2am
St Louis City
1-4
Kansas
Parker (28')
Jackson (45'), Stroud (58'), Lowen (70'), Blom (78'), Adeniran (87')
Ndenbe (27'), Walter (36'), Kinda (39'), Salloi (61')
Kinda (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Texans
@
Cowboys
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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