Major League Soccer

Sep 22, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Earthquakes Stadium

Earthquakes
1 - 2
St Louis City

Ebobisse (40')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Teuchert (4'), Hartel (12' pen.)
Hartel (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Seattle 2-2 Earthquakes
Thursday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: St Louis City 1-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, September 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 St Louis City

St. Louis still have a slim chance of making it to the playoffs, giving them something to play for compared to San Jose, who are already out of contention. Although the visitors have dominated this fixture in the past, their away form leaves much to be desired, and that is why we believe the best they can hope for in this match is a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 56.37%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.42%) and 1-0 (7%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	St Louis City
56.37% ( -0.05)	20.77% ( 0)	22.86% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 63.78% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.21% (

0.03)

33.8% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.37% (

0.03)

55.63% (

-0.03)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.98% (

-0)

12.02% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.51% (

-0.01)

37.49% (

0.01)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.5% (

0.06)

27.5% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37% (

0.07)

63% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 56.37%

St Louis City 22.86%

Draw 20.77%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	St Louis City
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.68% Total : 56.37%	1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.77%	1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 22.86%