We said: Portland Timbers 2-0 Minnesota United
While Minnesota United still sit above their hosts in the Conference standings, the two sides' momentum has shifted with the Timbers gaining confidence and the visitors' struggling form.
Having lost some of their confidence without Oluwaseyi's goals, we see the Loons succumbing to a quickly improving Portland Timbers team in Oregon.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.