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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Orlando City

Inter Miami
5 - 0
Orlando City

Suarez (4', 11'), Taylor (29'), Messi (57', 62')
Gomez (51'), Campana (83'), Allen (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Jansson (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Inter Miami
Monday, February 26 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-1 Cavalry
Tuesday, February 27 at 11pm in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 Orlando City

 In their two MLS matches so far, we have seen the Herons look vulnerable on the back end, but we believe their individual quality will be enough to earn them three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
39.53% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 25.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 34.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.78% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.88% (0.042000000000002 0.04)48.12% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72% (0.039000000000001 0.04)70.28% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)24.04% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (0.012999999999998 0.01)58.31% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04)26.56% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.22% (0.045999999999999 0.05)61.77% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 39.53%
    Orlando City 34.97%
    Draw 25.5%
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 39.53%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 34.97%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Orlando City

Inter Miami
75.6%
Draw
11.1%
Orlando City
13.3%
45
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
1-1
Inter Miami
McGuire (66')
Schlegel (60'), Jansson (90+1')
Ruiz (52')
Aviles (23'), Cremaschi (31'), Ruiz (54'), Yedlin (55'), Arroyo (78')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Inter Miami
1-3
Orlando City
Campana (57')
Campana (16'), Cremaschi (75'), Fray (89'), McVey (90+1')
Kara (19'), Ojeda (68'), Santos (86')
Carlos (23'), Cartagena (36'), Angulo (41')
> Preview
Oct 6, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
4-1
Orlando City
> Preview
Jul 10, 2022 3.24am
Orlando City
1-0
Inter Miami
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 27
Orlando City
0-0
Inter Miami
> Preview
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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