Major League Soccer

Oct 21, 2023 at 11.20pm UK

BMO Field

Toronto
0 - 2
Orlando City

FT(HT: 0-0)

McGuire (63', 74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Toronto 1-2 Orlando City

We want to think having nothing to lose and being under new management would change the Reds' fate this weekend, but there is just too much working against the home side in all areas of the field for us to believe they can claim even a single point out of nowhere.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Orlando City
36.62% ( -0.01)	26.02% ( 0)	37.35% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.16% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.73% (

-0.01)

50.26% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.78% (

-0.01)

72.22% (

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.39% (

-0.01)

26.61% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.16% (

-0.01)

61.84% (

0.01)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8% (

-0)

26.2% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.71%

61.29% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Toronto 36.62%

Orlando City 37.35%

Draw 26.02%

Toronto	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 9.23% 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.62%	1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.7% 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.35%