NY City3 - 0Toronto
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: New York City FC 2-0 Toronto
New York City have hit their stride in recent weeks and will be licking their lips as they take on an out-of-sorts Toronto side who have lost 12 of their last 13 matches. The Pigeons picked up an emphatic 5-0 victory when they met in the Leagues Cup back in July and we are backing them to come out on top once again.How to watch
You can watch New York City FC vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Toronto |
71.55% ( 0.23) | 17.19% ( -0.07) | 11.26% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 50.14% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.89% ( -0.17) | 39.11% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.56% ( -0.17) | 61.43% ( 0.17) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.34% ( 0.01) | 9.66% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.76% ( 0.03) | 32.23% ( -0.03) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.5% ( -0.4) | 44.5% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.47% ( -0.32) | 80.53% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Toronto |
2-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.79% Total : 71.54% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 17.19% | 0-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.04% Total : 11.26% |
How you voted: NY City vs Toronto
Eastern Conference
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Western Conference
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |