We said: New York City FC 2-0 New York Red Bulls
It is a real possibility that both New York clubs will miss the MLS Cup playoffs in the same season for the first time, as we are nearing closer to now or never time for each.
Many of their encounters this year have not gone their way, but NYCFC have created more scoring opportunities from one match to another when compared to the Red Bulls, and that is why we believe the home side will triumph on Saturday.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.