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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Derby County |
25.75% ( -0.12) | 26.12% ( -0.01) | 48.12% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 49.17% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.46% ( -0.04) | 54.53% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.11% ( -0.03) | 75.88% ( 0.03) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.59% ( -0.12) | 36.41% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.8% ( -0.12) | 73.2% ( 0.12) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.32% ( 0.04) | 22.68% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.67% ( 0.06) | 56.32% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.75% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |