League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby1 - 0Cambridge
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Derby
Tuesday, December 27 at 3pm in League One
Tuesday, December 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Shrewsbury
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
21
We said: Derby County 1-1 Cambridge United
Derby County's trouble recently has been turning draws into victories, and although they boast the quality to see off Cambridge United, the visitors will have renewed optimism after their Boxing Day victory, and we fancy them to return home with a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Cambridge United |
65.51% ( -0.58) | 19.53% ( 0.06) | 14.96% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( 1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
