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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Feb 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Valencia logo

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Valencia

Asensio (52'), Junior (54')
Nacho (33'), Benzema (45+5'), Asensio (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diakhaby (60')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's La Liga clash with Valencia.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Valencia on Thursday.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Valencia

Valencia frustrated Real Madrid in the Spanish Super Cup earlier this month before ultimately losing on penalties, and another resilient performance across 90 minutes will be required if they are to have any chance of claiming a positive result on Thursday. Nevertheless, Los Blancos will be regarded as firm favourites to come away with maximum points and they should have enough quality in the final third to fire themselves to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 14.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-2 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawValencia
66.84% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 18.93% (0.0019999999999989 0) 14.23% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.25% (0.07 0.07)39.75% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.89% (0.073 0.07)62.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99% (0.01100000000001 0.01)11.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.7% (0.021999999999991 0.02)35.3% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (0.094000000000001 0.09)40.24% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (0.084 0.08)76.87% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 66.83%
    Valencia 14.23%
    Draw 18.93%
Real MadridDrawValencia
2-0 @ 10.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.22% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.98% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 66.83%
1-1 @ 8.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.93%
1-2 @ 4.05% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.84% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 14.23%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Valencia

Real Madrid
82.6%
Draw
13.2%
Valencia
4.3%
258
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 7pm
Semi-Finals
Real Madrid
1-1
Valencia
Real Madrid win 4-3 on penalties
Benzema (39' pen.)
Camavinga (28'), Nacho (109')
Lino (46')
Kluivert (31'), Comert (38'), Cavani (92'), Almeida (99')
Jan 8, 2022 8pm
Real Madrid
4-1
Valencia
Benzema (43' pen., 88'), Junior (52', 61')
Casemiro (14'), Militao (26'), Mendy (75')
Guedes (76')
Piccini (51'), Musah (58'), Cheryshev (84')
Sep 19, 2021 8pm
Valencia
1-2
Real Madrid
Duro (66')
Paulista (39')
Junior (86'), Benzema (88')
Casemiro (45+4'), Nacho (56'), Rodrygo (81'), Junior (90+2'), Camavinga (90+3')
Feb 14, 2021 3.15pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Valencia
Benzema (12'), Kroos (42')

Guedes (27'), Racic (44'), Correia (46')
Nov 8, 2020 8pm
Valencia
4-1
Real Madrid
Soler (35' pen., 54' pen., 63' pen.), Varane (43' og.)
Soler (41'), Guillamon (84'), Domenech (86')
Benzema (23')
Marcelo (52'), Ramos (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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