Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.