MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 23:46:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 13, 2024 at 11am UK
Grenada National Stadium

FC Tokyo
2 - 0
Albirex Niigata

Endo (6'), Nozawa (78')
Kimoto (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Endo (24'), Horigome (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Albirex Niigata, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reysol 3-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 6 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-4 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, July 6 at 10.30am in J1 League

We said: FC Tokyo 1-1 Albirex Niigata

Both teams will be keen to bounce back to winning ways on Saturday after disappointing results last time out, and we anticipate a hard-fought encounter which could end level in the Japanese capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawAlbirex Niigata
40.46% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 26.29% (-0.177 -0.18) 33.25% (0.191 0.19)
Both teams to score 52.79% (0.625 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.19% (0.777 0.78)51.81% (-0.772 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43% (0.671 0.67)73.57% (-0.664 -0.66)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (0.351 0.35)25.21% (-0.345 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (0.477 0.48)59.95% (-0.471 -0.47)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (0.51100000000001 0.51)29.42% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (0.62 0.62)65.41% (-0.61399999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 40.45%
    Albirex Niigata 33.25%
    Draw 26.29%
FC TokyoDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata

FC Tokyo
47.1%
Draw
47.1%
Albirex Niigata
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 6am
Gameweek 10
Albirex Niigata
1-3
FC Tokyo
Hayakawa (90')
Miyamoto (26'), Chiba (34'), Ota (82')
Nakagawa (39'), Shirai (49'), Oliveira (62')
Nov 11, 2023 5am
Gameweek 32
Albirex Niigata
0-0
FC Tokyo
Hoshi (23'), Fitzgerald (32')
Matsuki (44'), Koizumi (50')
Apr 29, 2023 7am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima291510453282555
2Machida Zelvia29167643222155
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe29157745271852
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers28146844341048
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka28139632221048
6Yokohama F MarinosYokohama28125114842641
7Tokyo Verdy29101183741-441
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo2891183537-238
9Avispa Fukuoka2991192830-238
10FC Tokyo29108113741-438
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus28114133234-237
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa279994237536
13Albirex Niigata2899103739-236
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki28810104240234
15Kyoto Sanga2897123345-1234
16Kashiwa ReysolReysol2889113442-833
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare2988133943-432
18Jubilo Iwata2877143449-1528
19Consadole SapporoConsadole2967163455-2125
20Sagan Tosu2973193657-2124


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