MX23RW : Wednesday, February 5 17:54:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 17
May 31, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
0 - 1
FC Tokyo


Naganuma (35'), Yamazaki (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kimoto (11')
Matsuki (44')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 18 at 11am in J1 League

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 26 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Tokyo in this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
30.87% (-0.248 -0.25) 24.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 44.28% (0.267 0.27)
Both teams to score 56.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.63% (0.012999999999998 0.01)46.36% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35% (0.013000000000002 0.01)68.65% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (-0.154 -0.15)28.27% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (-0.195 -0.2)63.98% (0.188 0.19)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.01% (0.121 0.12)20.99% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.24% (0.196 0.2)53.76% (-0.205 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 30.87%
    FC Tokyo 44.28%
    Draw 24.84%
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 7.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.74% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 30.87%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 9.26% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.23% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.75% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 3% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.86% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 44.28%

How you voted: Sagan Tosu vs FC Tokyo

Sagan Tosu
36.4%
Draw
36.4%
FC Tokyo
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 7am
Gameweek 28
FC Tokyo
3-2
Sagan Tosu
Adailton (54'), Watanabe (59'), Tawaratsumida (87')
Trevisan (30')
Naganuma (18'), Togashi (32' pen.)
Apr 1, 2023 7am
Gameweek 6
Sagan Tosu
1-0
FC Tokyo
Jun 26, 2022 11am
Gameweek 18
Sagan Tosu
5-0
FC Tokyo
Iwasaki (30'), Diego (48'), Honda (70'), Kakita (78', 85')
Diego (42'), Seok-Ho (90+1')
May 8, 2022 7am
Gameweek 12
FC Tokyo
0-1
Sagan Tosu

Slowik (51'), Yamashita (52'), Matsuki (70')
Horigome (81')
Harada (27'), Fukuta (28')
Aug 9, 2021 11am
Gameweek 23
Sagan Tosu
1-0
FC Tokyo
Sento (7')
Seok-Ho (59')

Oumari (31')
rhs 2.0
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