MX23RW : Tuesday, September 17 07:51:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
2 - 2
Jubilo Iwata

Miyamoto (14'), Akiyama (27')
Ono (20')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Germain (66', 90+1')
Yamada (25'), Suzuki (45+1'), Germain (57')
Peixoto (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Jubilo Iwata, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 1-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Reims
Wednesday, July 24 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Jubilo Iwata

With the stakes high ahead of this contest, we do not expect either side to be particularly attacking. There is an argument that they would each take a point if it was offered to them beforehand, leading us to back a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawJubilo Iwata
40.93% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.43% (0.0040000000000013 0) 34.64% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.73% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)43.27% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.33% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)65.66% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)21.22% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.88% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)54.12% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.46% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)58.91% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 40.93%
    Jubilo Iwata 34.64%
    Draw 24.43%
Albirex NiigataDrawJubilo Iwata
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 40.93%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 5.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.98% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.64%

How you voted: Albirex Niigata vs Jubilo Iwata

Albirex Niigata
57.9%
Draw
31.6%
Jubilo Iwata
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 11am
Gameweek 6
Jubilo Iwata
2-0
Albirex Niigata
Germain (75' pen., 79')
Germain (67')

Komi (7'), Hoshi (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Falcons
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia30177646222458
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima301511455302556
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe30167747281955
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers29147846361049
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka2913973223948
6Tokyo Verdy30111183941-244
7Yokohama F MarinosYokohama29125124944541
8FC Tokyo30118114142-141
9Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa2810994337639
10Albirex Niigata29109104040039
11Cerezo OsakaCerezo2991193639-338
12Avispa Fukuoka30911102833-538
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki29910104542337
14Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus29114143338-537
15Kyoto Sanga29107123546-1137
16Kashiwa ReysolReysol2989123444-1033
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare3088144046-632
18Jubilo Iwata2987143649-1331
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3067173457-2325
20Sagan Tosu3073203860-2224


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