Albirex Niigata

3 - 2

Avispa Fukuoka

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 26.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albirex Niigata would win this match.