Monza

3 - 1

Vis Pesaro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 69.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Vis Pesaro had a probability of 11.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Vis Pesaro win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.