MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 00:03:35| >> :600:676574:676574:
FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Nethermoor Park
Scunthorpe United

Guiseley
1 - 0
Scunthorpe

Lawlor (21')
Mbeka (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Guiseley and Scunthorpe United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guiseley 3-0 1874 Northwich
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 13.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Guiseley win it was 2-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
GuiseleyDrawScunthorpe United
13.3% (-0.952 -0.95) 18.25% (-0.442 -0.44) 68.45% (1.396 1.4)
Both teams to score 52.97% (-1.127 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27% (-0.147 -0.15)38.73% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (-0.153 -0.15)61.04% (0.154 0.15)
Guiseley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.06% (-1.466 -1.47)40.93% (1.466 1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.5% (-1.338 -1.34)77.5% (1.339 1.34)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.68% (0.31 0.31)10.31% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.25% (0.7 0.7)33.74% (-0.7 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Guiseley 13.3%
    Scunthorpe United 68.44%
    Draw 18.25%
GuiseleyDrawScunthorpe United
2-1 @ 3.83% (-0.237 -0.24)
1-0 @ 3.77% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 1.68% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 1.14% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 13.3%
1-1 @ 8.57% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.25%
0-2 @ 10.89% (0.36 0.36)
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.19 0.19)
0-3 @ 8.25% (0.373 0.37)
1-3 @ 7.37% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 4.68% (0.27 0.27)
1-4 @ 4.18% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-5 @ 2.13% (0.149 0.15)
1-5 @ 1.9% (0.061 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 68.44%

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2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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