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Alfreton Town
FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
1 - 0
Spennymoor

Waldock (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Alfreton Town and Spennymoor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Biggleswade Town 0-6 Alfreton
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawSpennymoor Town
50.42%24.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 24.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 51.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)50.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.44%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.25%
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.89% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 50.42%
    Spennymoor Town 24.69%
    Draw 24.88%
Alfreton TownDrawSpennymoor Town
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 9.1%
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.37%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 24.69%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Alfreton
2-1
Spennymoor
Oliver (12'), Day (38')
Taylor (76')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Spennymoor
2-1
Alfreton
Harris (42'), Greenfield (60')
Riley (8')
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Alfreton
3-2
Spennymoor
Riley (2'), Rhead (13'), Smith (28')
Blackett (23', 69')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Spennymoor
0-0
Alfreton
Branson (23')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Alfreton
3-2
Spennymoor
Branson (40'), Sutton (43'), Rhead (58')
Mulhern (19'), Taylor (67')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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