MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 07:58:54| >> :600:280473:280473:
FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Brewery Field
Chorley

Spennymoor
1 - 0
Chorley

Fletcher (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Spennymoor Town and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warrington Town 1-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 3-3 Chorley
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawChorley
35.36% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 25.9%38.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)49.8% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19%71.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.87% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.47% (0.0039999999999978 0)62.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)59.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 35.36%
    Chorley 38.74%
    Draw 25.89%
Spennymoor TownDrawChorley
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.49%
3-0 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.36%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 6.84%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 9.43%
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.54%
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 38.74%

Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Chorley
2-1
Spennymoor
Ubaezuonu (51'), Calveley (69')
Ndjoli (11')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Spennymoor
0-2
Chorley
Calveley (16'), Ubaezuonu (56')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Spennymoor
2-1
Chorley
Taylor (7'), Blackett (29')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Chorley
2-0
Spennymoor
Shenton (4'), Ustabasi (62')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Spennymoor
2-0
Chorley
Taylor (18' pen.), Anderson (51')
rhs 2.0
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