EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
The City Ground
Nott'm Forest1 - 1Newcastle
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 Newcastle
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in Premier League
We said: Nottingham Forest 1-2 Newcastle United
Fewer first team and squad players available may force Howe to field a strong Newcastle side here, and that could be to their advantage as they look to avenge Forest for those two second round cup defeats in the late 2010s. The hosts have made a good start in the league, but they will certainly face a sterner test here than the one offered to them by Southampton at the weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Newcastle United |
31.86% ( -1.14) | 23.63% ( 0.12) | 44.5% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.42% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
