MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 09:32:32| >> :60:50:50:
Newcastle logo
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 9, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
St. James' Park
Girona logo

Newcastle
4 - 0
Girona

Longstaff (4', 38'), Murphy (14'), Gordon (16')
FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Newcastle United and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama 2-0 Newcastle
Saturday, August 3 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Napoli 0-2 Girona
Saturday, August 3 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Girona

Both Newcastle and Girona are expected to name relatively strong lineups in both halves of Friday's contest. Blanquivermells are in high spirits following last weekend's win over Napoli, but we expect the Magpies to bounce back from their most recent loss in Japan and come out on top in front of their home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawGirona
43.5% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 23.21% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 33.29% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 63.59% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)37.76% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)60% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.19% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)17.81% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.46% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)48.54% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)22.63% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.74% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)56.26% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 43.5%
    Girona 33.29%
    Draw 23.21%
Newcastle UnitedDrawGirona
2-1 @ 8.92%
1-0 @ 6.96% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 43.5%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 5.99% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 33.29%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Girona

Newcastle United
74.4%
Draw
15.4%
Girona
10.3%
39
rhs 2.0
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