MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 23:43:43| >> :60:1889:1889:
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002
Newcastle logo

Urawa
1 - 4
Newcastle

Nitta (23')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Isak (3'), Murphy (45', 47'), Hall (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 3-4 Consadole
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Newcastle
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Urawa Red Diamonds 1-3 Newcastle United

While Urawa have the advantage of being midway through their J1 League campaign, their recent form has been dismal, while Newcastle's players will be fresh and wanting to set the tempo ahead of a new campaign, leading us to believe the visitors will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawNewcastle United
45.12% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02) 22.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.92% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 63.94% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.94% (0.031000000000006 0.03)37.05% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.75% (0.033999999999999 0.03)59.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.11% (0.0049999999999955 0)16.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.08% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)46.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (0.030000000000001 0.03)23.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (0.045000000000002 0.05)56.9% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 45.12%
    Newcastle United 31.92%
    Draw 22.95%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 45.12%
1-1 @ 10.16%
2-2 @ 6.63% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.92%

How you voted: Urawa vs Newcastle

Urawa Red Diamonds
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Newcastle United
71.4%
28
rhs 2.0
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