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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Toyota Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
0 - 1
Urawa


Uchida (37'), Nogami (55'), Kubo (81'), Patric (90+2'), Chang-Rae (90+6')
Uchida (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Urawa Red Diamonds, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 22 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-2 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, June 22 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Urawa Red Diamonds

With two sides who have experienced similar campaigns thus far, including recent ruts, we anticipate a tight contest on Wednesday which could be settled by a single goal. While the visitors fought hard to earn a point against Kashima Antlers last time out, they may fall just short away at a Nagoya Grampus side full of quality with their own need to end a winless streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Urawa Red Diamonds in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
27.47% (0.155 0.16) 26.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 45.8% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 48.74% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.26% (0.062999999999995 0.06)55.74% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.12% (0.052999999999997 0.05)76.88% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.37% (0.15899999999999 0.16)35.63% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.6% (0.162 0.16)72.4% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)24.29% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)58.66% (0.07 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 27.48%
    Urawa Red Diamonds 45.79%
    Draw 26.72%
Nagoya GrampusDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.52% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.61% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 27.48%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 8.65% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 12.24% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.67% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 45.79%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa

Nagoya Grampus
42.1%
Draw
26.3%
Urawa Red Diamonds
31.6%
19
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 7am
Gameweek 10
Urawa
2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Yasui (24'), Thiago (70' pen.)
Thiago (16'), Ito (31')
Izumi (90+2')
Yonemoto (41')
Aug 18, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 24
Urawa
1-0
Nagoya Grampus
Kante (11')
Koizumi (21'), Hoibraten (45'), Okubo (60'), Linssen (89')

Kawazura (16'), Maruyama (76')
Apr 9, 2023 7am
Aug 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 24
Nagoya Grampus
3-0
Urawa
Shigehiro (27'), Mateus (45+5'), Nagai (64')
Nakatani (59'), Nagai (74')
Jun 18, 2022 11am
Gameweek 17
Urawa
3-0
Nagoya Grampus
Scholz (21'), Ito (23'), Sekine (36')
Iwanami (30')

Mateus (42'), Nakatani (50')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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