Cobresal

1 - 3

Sao Paulo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Cobresal had a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Cobresal win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.