Vitoria

1 - 3

Sao Paulo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.