We said: Sarmiento 1-1 Belgrano
Belgrano are unbeaten in their visits to Sarmiento, and they have enjoyed a better campaign than the hosts so far - however, their away form has been underpar, which is why we think that the home side can get something from this game.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Belgrano had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.18%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Belgrano win was 0-1 (12.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.