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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 25, 2024 at 10.45pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez

Lanus
3 - 2
Belgrano

Moreno (32'), Sanabria (55'), Torres (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rolon (41'), Jara (90')
Troilo (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Belgrano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 2-2 Lanus
Sunday, July 21 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 2-1 Deportivo Riestra
Friday, July 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Lanus 2-2 Belgrano

Belgrano have put together a solid run of results in recent weekend and will be looking to end their poor run of results at the El Estadio Ciudad de Lanus. However, Zielinski's men have lost just one of their last seven matches and predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawBelgrano
53.97% (-0.322 -0.32) 25.61% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 20.43% (0.28 0.28)
Both teams to score 44.84% (0.268 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.8% (0.15 0.15)57.21% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.94% (0.12 0.12)78.06% (-0.12 -0.12)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)21.26% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (-0.11 -0.11)54.18% (0.109 0.11)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.94% (0.393 0.39)43.06% (-0.394 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.66% (0.33 0.33)79.34% (-0.331 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 53.96%
    Belgrano 20.43%
    Draw 25.6%
LanusDrawBelgrano
1-0 @ 14.17% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 10.97% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.66% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 53.96%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.15% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.03% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.43%

How you voted: Lanus vs Belgrano

Lanus
55.6%
Draw
38.9%
Belgrano
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2024 12.15am
Gameweek 11
Belgrano
0-1
Lanus

Longo (5'), Meriano (22')
Bou (77')
Pena Biafore (12'), Jose Caceres (35')
Oct 30, 2023 9.30pm
Gameweek 11
Lanus
2-0
Belgrano
Torres (48'), Boggio (60')

Marin (18'), Longo (33')
Godoy (32')
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Mar 31, 2019 5.15pm
Gameweek 24
Lanus
3-1
Belgrano
Sand (4'), Moreno (63'), Acosta (92')
Garcia (53'), Tiago (59'), Moreno (64')
Techera (46')
Quiroga (6'), Guidara (29'), Novillo (40'), Mendoza (59')
Novillo (86')
rhs 2.0
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