MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 19:18:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 14, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez

Lanus
2 - 0
Racing

Carrera (44'), Bou (65')
Luciatti (18'), Dominguez (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rojas (31'), Solari (74'), Martinez (85')
Solari (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Racing Club, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Lanus
Sunday, June 2 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-0 Deportivo Riestra
Saturday, June 1 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Lanus 0-2 Racing Club

Making a case for Lanus against Racing in Buenos Aires is hard for two reasons: the hosts have not only secured inferior results in the league this term but have suffered five consecutive losses against their opponents before this week's meeting. While that losing streak will end eventually, it is not expected to be in this season's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawRacing Club
40.44% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24) 27.6% (0.038 0.04) 31.96% (0.201 0.2)
Both teams to score 48.38% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.75% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)57.24% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.91% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)78.09% (0.071999999999989 0.07)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (-0.176 -0.18)27.74% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (-0.227 -0.23)63.32% (0.224 0.22)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96% (0.094999999999999 0.09)33.04% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.37% (0.105 0.11)69.63% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 40.44%
    Racing Club 31.96%
    Draw 27.6%
LanusDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 40.44%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.17% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 10.15% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.62% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 31.96%

How you voted: Lanus vs Racing

Lanus
5.6%
Draw
27.8%
Racing Club
66.7%
18
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 13
Racing
2-0
Lanus
Martinez (6'), Solari (56')
Martinez (45+3')

Dominguez (72')
Nov 11, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 13
Lanus
0-2
Racing

Esquivel (32')
Lema (45+5'), Canale (45+1')
Rodriguez (25'), Piovi (45+8' pen.)
Ignacio Nardoni (77'), Piovi (88')
Feb 27, 2023 10.15pm
Gameweek 5
Racing
2-1
Lanus
Rojas (26'), Piovi (58')
Loaiza (43')
Oct 18, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 26
Lanus
0-1
Racing
Copetti (82')
Nov 29, 2021 10.15pm
Second Phase
Racing
3-1
Lanus
Lopez (38'), Sigali (42'), Alcaraz (87')
Alcaraz (11'), Martinez (71'), Moreno (90+3')
Sand (36')
Burdisso (26'), Acosta (45'), Bernabei (61'), Perez (87')
rhs 2.0
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