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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
Oct 2, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio El Fortin de Luduena

Rosario
3 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Malcorra (28' pen.), Sandez (76'), Ortiz (85')
Lovera (58'), Ortiz (59'), Mallo (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Romero (79')
Fernandez (25')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Platense 1-0 Rosario
Sunday, September 22 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, September 24 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 34.93%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (13.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawVelez Sarsfield
34.93% (0.483 0.48) 30.66% (-0.107 -0.11) 34.41% (-0.376 -0.38)
Both teams to score 40.44% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.9% (0.314 0.31)67.1% (-0.315 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.67% (0.209 0.21)85.33% (-0.209 -0.21)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.77% (0.513 0.51)36.22% (-0.513 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (0.517 0.52)73.01% (-0.518 -0.52)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)36.58% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.63% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)73.37% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 34.92%
    Velez Sarsfield 34.41%
    Draw 30.65%
Rosario CentralDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.87% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.33% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.17% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 34.92%
1-1 @ 13.53%
0-0 @ 13.25% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.45% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.65%
0-1 @ 13.32% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.7% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 34.41%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 9
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
Rosario
Osorio (87')
Bouzat (39'), Aquino (82')

Sandez (27'), Ortiz (46'), Martinez (57'), Mallo (83')
Oct 20, 2023 12.45am
Gameweek 9
Rosario
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Lovera (68' pen.)
Malcorra (54'), Martinez (79')
Castro (29')
Gomez (37'), Castro (56'), Pizzini (66'), Caseres (90+5')
May 16, 2023 12.30am
Jun 20, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 4
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Rosario
Orellano (6'), Fernandez (84')
Fernandez (49'), Perrone (75'), Ortega (76')

Gamba (64'), Torrent (90+6')
Feb 15, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 2
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Baez (56')
Infantino (80'), Tanlongo (87'), Martinez (90+7')

Bouzat (46'), Castro (82'), Guidara (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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