Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Aug 24, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
Instituto4 - 1Defensa
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Defensa y Justicia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Instituto
Sunday, August 18 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, August 18 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
31
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Banfield
Tuesday, August 20 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, August 20 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 39.06%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 2-1 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.44%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Instituto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
39.06% ( 1.26) | 30.54% ( 0.22) | 30.4% ( -1.48) |
| Both teams to score 40.12% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
