MX23RW : Sunday, September 8 00:17:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Aug 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Defensa y Justicia

Velez Sarsfield
3 - 0
Defensa

Fernandez (22'), Aquino (56', 59')
Gomez (12'), Caseres (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ramos Mingo (45+2'), Ferreira (57'), Molinas (72'), Lopez (79')
Soto (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-2 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, July 29 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-3 Platense
Monday, July 29 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 Defensa y Justicia

Velez Sarsfield will head into this one with the wind in their sails and unsurprisingly so given recent results. Defensa y Justicia, on the other hand, are in need of a pick-me-up, but we expect their misery to continue at the sound of the final whistle here, with the home side claiming a relatively routine triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawDefensa y Justicia
46.03% (0.301 0.3) 28.21% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 25.76% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 43.53% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.2% (0.17 0.17)61.79% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.41% (0.126 0.13)81.58% (-0.126 -0.13)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (0.23599999999999 0.24)26.91% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (0.308 0.31)62.24% (-0.308 -0.31)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.56% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)40.44% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.95% (-0.081 -0.08)77.05% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 46.02%
    Defensa y Justicia 25.76%
    Draw 28.2%
Velez SarsfieldDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 14.28%
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.065 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 46.02%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.88% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Defensa

Velez Sarsfield
94.1%
Draw
5.9%
Defensa y Justicia
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 12am
Jun 25, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Defensa
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Fernandez (88')
Cardona (27'), Gutierrez (39'), Soto (67')
Garayalde (90')
Gomez (25'), Ortega (49'), Garayalde (90+5')
Jul 28, 2021 8.30pm
Second Phase
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Defensa
Centurion (37'), Andres Romero (52'), Caseres (78')
Paredes (22'), Rotondi (39')
Mar 28, 2021 8.15pm
First Phase
Defensa
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Benitez (19')
Jeremias Fernandez (22'), Escalante (73'), Meza (82')
Jeremias Fernandez (43')
Tarragona (61')
Alvarez (22'), Mancuello (69'), Gianetti (75'), Tarragona (90+2')
Amor (56')
Sep 29, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Defensa

Gimenez (49')
Marquez (58')
Cesar Gonzalez Trinidad (9')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield138322681827
2Atletico TucumanTucuman13742148625
3Instituto137331910924
4HuracanHuracan13661126624
5TalleresTalleres136521814423
6UnionUnion136521410423
7Racing ClubRacing136341810821
8Boca Juniors135621812621
9GimnasiaGimnasia136251513220
10Deportivo Riestra136161415-119
11River PlateRiver Plate134631510518
12Rosario CentralRosario135351513218
13LanusLanus134631718-118
14Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz124531311217
15BelgranoBelgrano134541416-217
16EstudiantesEstudiantes134451413116
17TigreTigre134451718-116
18IndependienteIndependiente1337389-116
19Platense134361113-215
20Independiente Rivadavia13436813-515
21Sarmiento13355911-214
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs13427816-814
23San Lorenzo123451112-113
24Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB13346612-613
25BanfieldBanfield132561017-711
26Defensa y JusticiaDefensa132561021-1111
27Barracas Central13157518-138
28Central CordobaC. Cordoba131481123-127


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