MX23RW : Wednesday, January 8 23:55:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 4, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Independiente

Defensa
0 - 0
Independiente


Gutierrez (57'), Molinas (64'), Caceres (81'), Neves (86')
FT

Tarzia (15'), Avalos (40'), Fedorco (52'), Perez (54'), Neves (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 0-1 Cesar Vallejo
Thursday, May 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Defensa y Justicia 0-1 Independiente

 Both teams are coming into this game having endured recent periods of uncertainty with changes to their manager, but Independiente's performances and results have been significantly better than the hosts, who have failed to win in over a month. In comparison, the visitors have won two and drawn one of their last three away matches, leading us to believe they will take the three points from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 34.99%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.05%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (12.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawIndependiente
34.99% (0.068999999999996 0.07) 30.08% (0.09 0.09) 34.93% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)
Both teams to score 41.93% (-0.246 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.65% (-0.292 -0.29)65.34% (0.283 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.86% (-0.204 -0.2)84.13% (0.19500000000001 0.2)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.78% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)35.22% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02% (-0.113 -0.11)71.97% (0.104 0.1)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.73% (-0.274 -0.27)35.26% (0.26600000000001 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.98% (-0.284 -0.28)72.02% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 34.99%
    Independiente 34.92%
    Draw 30.06%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 12.96% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 34.99%
1-1 @ 13.5%
0-0 @ 12.41% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 30.06%
0-1 @ 12.94% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 34.92%

How you voted: Defensa vs Independiente

Defensa y Justicia
20.0%
Draw
70.0%
Independiente
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 4
Independiente
0-2
Defensa
Jul 20, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 9
Defensa
2-1
Independiente
Duarte (28'), Frias (64' pen.)
Duarte (33'), Gutierrez (51')
Gutierrez (78')
Vigo (90+1')
Marcone (13'), Romero (36'), Rodriguez (62'), Pozzo (64'), Fernandez (72'), Vigo (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 1.15am
Second Phase
Independiente
0-0
Defensa
Apr 18, 2021 10pm
First Phase
Independiente
1-0
Defensa
Barreto (77')
Palacios (82')

Romero (18'), Pizzini (47'), Escalante (90+6')
Dec 6, 2020 10.10pm
Group Stage
Independiente
1-0
Defensa
Sonora (3')
Benavidez (24'), Costa (75'), Ignacio Pacchini (83')
rhs 2.0
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