Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 4, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa0 - 0Independiente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensa 0-1 Cesar Vallejo
Thursday, May 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, May 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
We said: Defensa y Justicia 0-1 Independiente
Both teams are coming into this game having endured recent periods of uncertainty with changes to their manager, but Independiente's performances and results have been significantly better than the hosts, who have failed to win in over a month. In comparison, the visitors have won two and drawn one of their last three away matches, leading us to believe they will take the three points from this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 34.99%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.05%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (12.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Independiente |
34.99% ( 0.07) | 30.08% ( 0.09) | 34.93% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 41.93% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
