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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Sep 15, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
Independiente

Belgrano
1 - 1
Independiente

Jara (71')
Quignon (10'), Compagnucci (26'), Jara (56'), Reyna (75'), Troilo (84'), Fernandez (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gabriel Montiel (46')
Vera (67'), Canelo (79')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Belgrano
Saturday, August 31 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, September 1 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 34.18%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 31.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.77%) and 2-1 (6.45%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (14.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
BelgranoDrawIndependiente
34.18% (0.064 0.06) 31.76% (0.026 0.03) 34.06% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 37.77% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.81% (-0.07 -0.07)70.19% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.65% (-0.044 -0.04)87.35% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.5% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)75.25% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41% (-0.108 -0.11)38.59% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.67% (-0.103 -0.1)75.33% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 34.18%
    Independiente 34.05%
    Draw 31.75%
BelgranoDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 14.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 34.18%
0-0 @ 14.85% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-1 @ 13.5%
2-2 @ 3.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 31.75%
0-1 @ 14.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.74% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 34.05%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 14
Independiente
2-0
Belgrano
Cauteruccio (9' pen., 89' pen.)
Nov 11, 2018 4.15pm
Gameweek 12
Independiente
2-1
Belgrano
Britez (45'), Romero (62')
Hernandez (53'), Britez (55')
Meza (39')
Sequeira (32' pen.)
Lugo (77'), Guidara (79')
Quiroga (34')
rhs 2.0
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