Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.
-2.38) 
3.35) 
